The overall number might not touch 2014 right now, but it is enough to 2020 you’ll go down in history Christmas T-ShirtC The situation might change once the formal election campaign starts and Namo is capable of changing the dynamics of elections. There might be a change in alliances also. Moreover, the impact of Modi in WB, Odisha, and Kerala has been kept moderate. If something like Assam happens in these states, then BJP might gain more than the prediction.
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So yeah, the GOP doesn’t seem to be a conservative party to 2020 you’ll go down in history Christmas T-ShirtC . If you go back far enough in time, it looks that way, but in recent years it seems to have moved in the direction of social conservatism (usually focusing only on hot-button issues) paired with big-government authoritarianism. The GOP does lipservice to fiscal conservatism and small government, but when the chips are down, they have been consistently fiscally sloppy and authoritarian in recent years.