By both black and gray ink tests, he’s close to Support Douglas Murray shirt By JAWS he’s not there yet, but remember that half of that measure is 7-year peak WAR and he only had 4 full years plus 52 games coming in to 2019. If he were to play three more years at the average of his last three (9 WAR), that would give him 62.2 career WAR and a 59.9 7-year peak, for 61.0 JAWS which would already be above average among Hall RF’s.
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To be exact, that career WAR would tie him with Support Douglas Murray shirt the all-time list for RFs and just behind Dave Winfield (64.2). The peak WAR would be 4th, between Roberto Clemente (54.2) and Hank Aaron (60.3). 61 JAWS would get him to 8th, between Reggie Jackson (60.4) and Al Kaline (70.8). So yeah, barring something unexpected (injury, mostly) I think he’s got an excellent shot at the Hall and I hope the Red Sox throw large piles of money at him to keep him in RF at Fenway for a long time. I’m not sure I’d give him Trout money, but at the same contract terms I’d rather have him right now than either Harper or Machado.