Biden was the What Happened At Camp Never Happened shirt to take because he has a wider appeal to Republicans. Bernie was the horse to take because he had a wide appeal to progressives. It’s just that establishment america does not want to embrace progressives. I don’t have any exact numbers because after 2016 I’m not sure if anyone bothered to look at what a serious Bernie run would do. But I remember back then the predictions were that Bernie could flip states like west virginia. States where plants and factories abandoned the communities as soon as the profits declined.
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Once clinton had the nomination most What Happened At Camp Never Happened shirt showed her being favored. But before she had the nomination quite a few polls showed Bernie as being the only viable option to trump. I think this was largely just the pollsters needing to feel like they were right. They had to show her winning even though trump had always polled with decent chances